I am in a mood today so I decided to make a step-by-step guide to kickstart your vaccine-safety research journey. Treat it as a Vaccine-Research-For-Dummies volume 1. Hopefully you gain from it. Today's guide is regarding the Measles incidence/mortality rate.
Pre-requisites:
- A little analytical skills and a small dose of common sense.
- Erase all preconceptions regarding the harm/benefit of vaccines and start with a blank slate.
Background knowledge:
- USA mass measles vaccination program started in 1966/1967.
- UK mass measles vaccination program started in 1968/1969.
Step 1:
Go to this link:
https://www.google.com/search?site=&tbm=isch&source=hp&biw=1366&bih=635&q=measles+rate&oq=measles+rate&gs_l=img.3..0l2j0i8i30l2j0i24l6.1303.2832.0.3032.12.9.0.3.3.0.85.355.9.9.0.msedr...0...1ac.1.64.img..0.12.375.zfs6CRrt_Q0
It is merely a search of "measles rate" in image.google.com. You will see many charts and they could be incidence rate or death rate from different countries.
Step 2:
Notice that there are two types of charts. The types ones starting from 1900s (even way back to 1830). And the ones starting from 1950s/1960s. Click to view them as you see fit.
Based on what I see I make two statements, if you don't agree with me let me know:
- The charts starting from 1950s/1960s are always from pro-vaccine and government/FDA/WHO/CDC websites.
- The charts starting from 1900s are always from anti-vaccine and non-governmental websites.
Step 3:
We focus on the 1900s charts. Based on what I see I make two statements, if you don't agree with me let me know:
- Measles rate has dropped by at least 98-99% before the introduction of the measles vaccine.
- I predict that based on the trajectory the rate will drop to near-zero eventually even if there is no intervention (eg. vaccine).
Step 4:
We focus on the 1950s/1960s charts. Based on what I see I make three statements, if you don't agree with me let me know:
- All of them marked the year the vaccine was licensed, which was 3-4 years before the mass vaccination program started.
- None of them indicated that the mass vaccination program start date was actually 1966/1967. If they had moved the arrow to 1966/1967 then the arrow will be on the slope or at the bottom of it.
- If the mass vaccination program start date was 1966/1967, it is common sense that the effect could only be seen at least a few years later not instantaneously.
Step 5:
Considering all that we have gathered so far, I will make the four following accusations which I think are objective and reasonable, if you don't agree with me let me know:
- Pro-vaccine/government/FDA/WHO/CDC sources are trying to fool me because they exclusively use 1950s/1960s charts although they have data back to at least 1830.
- Pro-vaccine/government/FDA/WHO/CDC sources are trying to fool me because when they use 1950s/1960s charts they fail to inform in a sidenote that the measles rate has dropped by 98-99% since 1900 even before the measles vaccine was introduced.
- Pro-vaccine/government/FDA/WHO/CDC sources are trying to fool me because they used the vaccine licensure year instead of the mass vaccination program year so as to look legitimate on the 1950s/1960s charts.
- The following statements in the pro-vaccine/government/FDA/WHO/CDC sources that accompanied those charts some written by doctors and scientists, are misleading bullshit:
- Prior to the development of the measles vaccine, 5.7 million people died each year from measles. When the measles vaccine came on the market in 1963, measles began a steady decline worldwide. By 1995, measles deaths had fallen 95 percent worldwide and 99 percent in Latin America.
- Prior to introduction of the measles vaccine in 1963, there were approximately 500,000 cases of measles reported annually in the United States, though it is estimated that the true annual incidence was more like 3-4 million. The disease reared its head in 2-3 year cycles, infecting nearly everyone at some point during childhood. Shortly after the vaccine was introduced, the incidence of measles plummeted by more than 98%, and the epidemic cycles ceased.
- Now look at the graph for measles. Once again, the story is similar. There is not nearly as much of a rise in the measles rate in the early years (1944-1958), but the disease rate follows the typical shaky pattern of epidemic cycles that is often seen in infectious disease rates. However, once again, there is slight decrease in the disease rate just prior to the licensing of the vaccine (during the testing phase), and then a dramatic decrease in the disease rate after the licensing of the vaccine.
And I have one important question:
- The information that we have just gathered is not top secret, widely circulated in anti-vaccine websites, and took only 10 minutes to find out. Did my friendly neightbourhood PDs know about it, ever cared to find out, and had ever told patients about it? After all they are highly paid and should have the professionalism to understand their trade especially if it involves a life, I suppose. To any PDs reading this, now that you know of the 1900s charts, would you be ethical enough to print one out to show to every parents coming to get the MMR shot, simply so that they could see the big picture and make a more informed decision? If your answer is "YES" please message me so that I can make you my PD. If your answer is "NO" then I'll thrash you into the zombie bin and recommend you a refresher course on the Hippocratic Oath.